Posted by
tommy on Wednesday, November 01, 2006 5:44:13 PM
The drive-by media has been pounding the fact into our heads that the Democrats will sweep on November 7. But is this really the case? Are the media's polls still hopelessly flawed, based on an old system of elections in which the Democrats beat the Republicans in voter turnout initiatives, and all politics was about local issues? The more I see, the more skeptical I am that the media is just trying to influence the outcome rather than reporting valid data with these polls. Let's look at the last several elections and the media coverage:
- 1994: No one in the Drive-by media seriously predicted the Republican take-over. Yet the Republicans came in and took over both chambers for the first time in decades.
- 1996: The drive-by media, counting 1994 as a fluke, predicted that the congress would go the way of Bill Clinton. If he were re-elected, the congress would revert back to the Democrats. If he wasn't, it would stay Republican. After the elections, they chalked it up to a "pro-incumbancy" election.
- 1998: The media predicted that the fallout over impeachment would bring the Dems back to power.
- 2000: Media was somewhat non-committal about the congressional elections, focusing more on the Presidency.
- 2002: Media predicted that Americans, sick of G.W. Bush, would put the Dems back in power because people liked "Divided Government". Republicans Swept.
- 2004: A victory was predicted for Kerry, and with him the Dems were predicted to pick up many seats. Republicans increased to a 55-seat majority.
- 2006: The year of the Democrat, according to the Drive-by Media. They are already calling San Fran Nan "Speaker Pelosi". We'll see...